Pre-tourney Rankings
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#216
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#254
Pace63.0#288
Improvement+4.3#29

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#208
Improvement+4.6#15

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#222
Improvement-0.4#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 97   @ Virginia L 52-76 16%     0 - 1 -16.2 +3.4 +3.1
  Nov 15, 2010 47   @ Richmond L 49-73 7%     0 - 2 -10.7 +5.8 +6.3
  Nov 21, 2010 15   @ Syracuse L 60-63 3%     0 - 3 +15.8 +9.1 +9.6
  Nov 26, 2010 267   Gardner-Webb W 56-55 74%     1 - 3 -8.6 -5.0 -4.5
  Nov 27, 2010 201   Mercer W 57-52 60%     2 - 3 -0.7 -3.3 -2.1
  Nov 28, 2010 193   Western Carolina L 39-64 57%     2 - 4 -29.8 -3.5 -2.6
  Dec 01, 2010 340   Howard W 76-62 93%     3 - 4 -5.4 -9.4 -9.4
  Dec 04, 2010 83   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 55-59 13%     3 - 5 0 - 1 +4.9 +4.0 +4.6
  Dec 18, 2010 228   @ Liberty L 62-71 39%     3 - 6 -9.2 -0.4 -0.2
  Dec 21, 2010 13   @ North Carolina L 60-85 3%     3 - 7 -5.8 +8.8 +9.3
  Dec 29, 2010 324   @ Longwood L 81-83 71%     3 - 8 -10.9 -4.3 -4.7
  Jan 03, 2011 213   UNC Wilmington L 59-61 62%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -8.1 -3.2 -3.0
  Jan 05, 2011 200   @ Delaware L 48-61 35%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -12.2 -0.3 +0.4
  Jan 08, 2011 101   James Madison L 79-84 35%     3 - 11 0 - 4 -4.1 +0.6 +0.0
  Jan 12, 2011 83   Virginia Commonwealth L 52-70 30%     3 - 12 0 - 5 -15.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 15, 2011 109   Drexel W 80-66 37%     4 - 12 1 - 5 +14.3 +0.9 +0.0
  Jan 19, 2011 272   @ Towson W 83-68 52%     5 - 12 2 - 5 +11.4 -1.4 -1.5
  Jan 22, 2011 140   Hofstra L 64-67 43%     5 - 13 2 - 6 -4.3 -1.0 -0.4
  Jan 24, 2011 191   @ Northeastern L 67-70 32%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -1.3 +0.5 +1.1
  Jan 26, 2011 200   Delaware L 55-59 60%     5 - 15 2 - 8 -9.5 -3.3 -2.4
  Jan 29, 2011 34   George Mason L 69-85 15%     5 - 16 2 - 9 -7.7 +4.2 +3.3
  Feb 02, 2011 101   @ James Madison W 73-67 17%     6 - 16 3 - 9 +13.2 +3.5 +4.0
  Feb 05, 2011 213   @ UNC Wilmington L 81-91 38%     6 - 17 3 - 10 -9.8 +0.7 -0.9
  Feb 09, 2011 61   Old Dominion L 53-69 21%     6 - 18 3 - 11 -10.5 +2.1 +2.5
  Feb 12, 2011 109   @ Drexel L 52-54 18%     6 - 19 3 - 12 +4.7 +3.2 +3.4
  Feb 15, 2011 140   @ Hofstra L 78-81 OT 22%     6 - 20 3 - 13 +2.0 +2.3 +2.6
  Feb 19, 2011 331   Radford W 84-52 90%     7 - 20 +14.8 -8.0 -7.8
  Feb 23, 2011 217   Georgia St. W 69-65 62%     8 - 20 4 - 13 -2.2 -2.9 -3.2
  Feb 26, 2011 61   @ Old Dominion L 58-77 9%     8 - 21 4 - 14 -7.2 +5.6 +5.2
  Mar 04, 2011 101   James Madison W 72-68 25%     9 - 21 +8.0 +2.1 +2.1
  Mar 05, 2011 140   Hofstra L 56-72 32%     9 - 22 -14.1 +0.5 +0.5
Projected Record 9.0 - 22.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%